Atlético Madrid vs Elche: prediction & betting odds 23 August 2025

The Matchday 2 La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Elche will be held on August 23 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid vs. Elche: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Atletico Madrid

The capital club had a disappointing start to the new championship. Playing away, Diego Simeone's side lost 1-2 to Espanyol. Once again, the Madrid team struggled against the Catalans and on the road, where they have only managed one win in their last five La Liga away matches (1 draw and 3 losses). However, Atletico has a streak of four home victories in La Liga.

  • At least 3 goals have been scored in 7 of Atletico's last 10 league matches.
  • At least one team failed to score in 6 of Atletico's last 8 La Liga games.
  • In 19 previous home La Liga matches, the club suffered only one defeat (14 wins and 4 draws).

Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-2-3-1)

Jan Oblak – David Ganzko, Robin Le Normand, Matteo Ruggeri, Marcos Llorente – Joao Cardoso, Conor Gallagher – Thiago Almada, Giuliano Simeone, Alex Baena – Julian Alvarez.

Defender Jose Maria Gimenez is unavailable due to injury.

Elche

Eder Sarabia's side made a decent return to La Liga, managing a 1-1 draw at home against Betis in the first round. Interestingly, when the club was relegated to the Segunda in 2023, they had a streak of 5 unbeaten matches in La Liga (2 wins and 3 draws). Thus, Elche is unbeaten in 6 consecutive matches, the best run for the team in Spain's top division since May 1977.

  • The club scored exactly 1 goal in their last 7 La Liga matches.
  • No more than two goals were scored in Elche's last 6 league matches.
  • The team has only won 2 of their last 21 away La Liga matches (4 draws and 15 losses).

Predicted lineup for Elche (4-3-3)

Matias Dituro – Alvaro Nunez, David Affengruber, Pedro Bigas, Leo Petro – Aleix Febas, Rodrigo Mendoza, Marc Aguado – German Valera, Alvaro Rodriguez, Ali Khori.

Forward Iago Santiago and midfielder Adam Boyar are out due to injuries.

Referee

Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)

Matches – 20 (La Liga, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 78;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;

Red cards shown – 6;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 20%.

Atletico Madrid vs. Elche: Match Prediction

The Madrid side will be eager to bounce back after their opening defeat and quickly make amends in front of their fans. The tournament has just begun, and the team has already dropped 3 points, which might be crucial at the end of the season. Atletico is strong at home, and in the last La Liga season, they only lost at home to Barcelona.

In their last 4 home league matches, Atletico confidently won with a margin of 2 or 3 goals. Additionally, they have scored at least three goals in each of these games. Atletico has also beaten Elche in the last five home encounters in the league, conceding only one goal. I believe the hosts will comfortably handle the La Liga newcomers.

My prediction: Atletico Madrid with a handicap (-1.5)

Betting tips 23 August 2025

The opening weekend of La Liga didn’t go to plan for the heavyweights, and Atlético Madrid were among those to stumble. A 2:1 defeat away to Espanyol has piled early pressure on Atlético Madrid, who now need to deliver on home turf against a modest Elche side.

Atlético Madrid’s summer transfer business hinted at a shift towards a more expansive style of play, but the trip to Espanyol exposed familiar flaws. They generated a respectable 1.29 xG, with Julián Álvarez’s superb free-kick (just 0.09 xG) their only goal, but defensively they were wide open, conceding 1.42 xGA. Diego Simeone is still searching for the right balance in his line-up, and one week is unlikely to fix the inconsistency.

For Elche, the return to La Liga began positively with a 1:1 draw at home to Real Betis. They came from behind in the second half, showing resilience, though the underlying numbers (1.60 xGA) underline their defensive vulnerabilities. With limited squad depth and a rigid 4-4-2 system under Sebastián Beccacece, it will be difficult to contain top-level attacking units across 90 minutes.

When the sides met in January’s Copa del Rey, Atlético Madrid cut Elche apart in a 4:0 rout. A repeat scoreline may be ambitious, but the conditions are ripe for another high-scoring affair, with both sides likely to show their frailties as much as their strengths.

Betting prediction
Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
3/4
Bet now

Atlético Madrid vs Elche Odds

La Liga: previous matches in the tournament

Atlético Madrid
17.08.25
Espanyol
Atlético Madrid
L
Elche
18.08.25
Elche
Real Betis
D

H2H: Atlético Madrid — Elche

Copa del Rey 2024-2025
15.01.25
Elche
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2022-2023
14.05.23
Elche
Atlético Madrid
29.12.22
Atlético Madrid
Elche
La Liga 2021-2022
11.05.22
Elche
Atlético Madrid
22.08.21
Atlético Madrid
Elche
La Liga 2020-2021
01.05.21
Elche
Atlético Madrid
19.12.20
Atlético Madrid
Elche
La Liga 2014-2015
25.04.15
Atlético Madrid
Elche
06.12.14
Elche
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2013-2014
17.04.14
Atlético Madrid
Elche
2
:
0
29.11.13
Elche
Atlético Madrid
0
:
2
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Real Betis
2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3
Rayo Vallecano
1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4
Villarreal
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5
Getafe
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6
Athletic Bilbao
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
7
Espanyol
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9
Alavés
2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10
Elche
2 0 2 0 2:2 2
11
Real Sociedad
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12
Valencia
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13
Atlético Madrid
2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14
Celta
2 0 1 1 1:3 1
15
Mallorca
2 0 1 1 1:4 1
16
Sevilla
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
17
Levante
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18
Osasuna
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19
Girona
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
20
Real Oviedo
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2
Villarreal
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3
Athletic Bilbao
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
4
Espanyol
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6
Alavés
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7
Elche
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8
Valencia
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9
Atlético Madrid
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10
Mallorca
2 0 1 1 1:4 1
11
Barcelona
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12
Rayo Vallecano
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13
Getafe
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14
Real Sociedad
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15
Celta
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16
Sevilla
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17
Levante
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18
Osasuna
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19
Girona
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
20
Real Oviedo
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2
Rayo Vallecano
1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3
Getafe
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4
Real Betis
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5
Elche
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6
Real Sociedad
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7
Celta
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8
Villarreal
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9
Athletic Bilbao
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10
Espanyol
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11
Real Madrid
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12
Alavés
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13
Valencia
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14
Atlético Madrid
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15
Mallorca
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16
Sevilla
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
17
Levante
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18
Osasuna
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19
Girona
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20
Real Oviedo
1 0 0 1 0:2 0

Team lineups

Atlético Madrid

Diego Pablo Simeone González
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Jan Oblak
gk. 0 0
David Hancko
df. 0 0
Robin Le Normand
df. 0 0
João Cardoso
mf. 0 0
Marcos Llorente
mf. 0 0
Matteo Ruggeri
mf. 0 0
Pablo Barrios Rivas
mf. 0 0
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
mf. 0 0
Alexander Sorloth
fw. 0 0
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
fw. 0 0
Julián Alvarez
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Juan Musso
gk. 0 0
Salvador Esquivel Gámez
gk. 0 0
Clément Lenglet
df. 0 0
Javi Galán
df. 0 0
Marc Pubill Pagès
df. 0 0
Nahuel Molina Lucero
df. 0 0
Alejandro Monserrate Pueyo
mf. 0 0
Conor Gallagher
mf. 0 0
Koke
mf. 0 0
Antoine Griezmann
fw. 0 0
Carlos Martín Domínguez
fw. 0 0
Giacomo Raspadori
fw. 0 0
Elche

Eder Sarabia Armesto
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Matías Ezequiel Dituro Curto
gk. 0 0
David Affengruber
df. 0 0
John Chetauya Nwankwo Donald Okeh
df. 0 0
Pedro Bigas Rigo
df. 0 0
Álvaro Núñez Cobo
df. 0 0
Aleix Febas Pérez
mf. 0 0
Marc Aguado Pallares
mf. 0 0
Rodrigo Mendoza Martinez Moya
mf. 0 0
Germán Valera Karabinaite
fw. 0 0
Rafa Mir
fw. 0 0
Álvaro Daniel Rodríguez Muñoz
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Alejandro Iturbe Encabo
gk. 0 0
Bambo Diaby Diaby
df. 0 0
Jairo Izquierdo González
df. 0 0
Léo Petrot
df. 0 0
Víctor Chust García
df. 0 0
Federico Redondo
mf. 0 0
José Antonio Ferrández Pomares
mf. 0 0
Martim Carvalho Neto
mf. 0 0
Ali Houary Jeddoub
fw. 0 0
André Silva
fw. 0 0
Mourad Daoudi El Ghezouani
fw. 0 0
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